Military··Severity 8
Ukrainian National Guard drones destroy Russian Su-24M bomber at Saky airbase in Crimea – video
Special forces from the Omega Special Purpose Centre within the National Guard of Ukraine have used drones to destroy a Russian Su-24M frontline bomber at the Saky military airbase in temporarily occupied Crimea.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
74%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
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