Military··Severity 9
Blasts reported in Iran as US launches new wave of strikes
The US says its attacks aim to "further degrade Iranian military capabilities", as fighting continued for the sixth day in a row.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
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