Military··Severity 9
Middle East live: US launches fresh strikes on Iran as Hormuz remains paralyzed
The United States launched a fresh wave of strikes against Iran on Wednesday, targeting military capabilities linked to threats against shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. President Donald Trump warned he could widen the campaign unless Tehran returned to negotiations. Follow our liveblog for the latest updates.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
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