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Geopolitical··Severity 8

A Divided World Is North Korea’s Greatest Asset

Geopolitical fragmentation has hamstrung nuclear sanctions regimes. Pyongyang is taking advantage.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

62%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Foreign Policy

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