Geopolitical··Severity 6
Hormuz closure threatens renewed oil supply crunch
Also in today’s newsletter: New York’s data centre crackdown and the new era of critical mineral diplomacy
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
37%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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