← Scenarios catalogue
Geopolitical··Severity 6

The dangers of investor fatalism

Reports of a Russo-Chinese plan to disable satellites underline how markets are ignoring geopolitical threats to the tech boom

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

35%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: FT World

Checking access status…