Military··Severity 9
Thousands protest for second day in Kyiv over ouster of popular defence minister
Protesters rallied for a second day in the Ukrainian capital on Friday, angered by President Volodymyr Zelensky's decision to fire youthful defence minister Mykhailo Fedorov, seen as an innovator who pioneered the country’s successful drone warfare but clashed with the traditional military establishment.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
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