Geopolitical··Severity 8
Further strikes unlikely to change Iran’s stance — former US intelligence officer
According to Jonathan Panikoff, the US attacks are more likely to harden Iran's position
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
59%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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