Natural··Severity 7
What in the World?
Test yourself on the week of July 11: China introduces AI regulations, Trump briefly imposes a toll on Hormuz, and Congo’s Ebola outbreak spreads.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
34%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Foreign Policy
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