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How far will Iran go for the Strait of Hormuz?

After years of stand-off over Tehran’s nuclear programme, the waterway is now at the heart of the regime’s confrontation with the US

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

30%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: FT World

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