Geopolitical··Severity 8
Ukraine's air defences down five missiles and 115 drones launched by Russia
Ukraine's air defences intercepted five guided missiles and 115 drones launched by Russia from the evening of 16 July. The aerial attack is still ongoing on the morning of 17 July.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
67%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
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