Economic··Severity 7
Russia to import diesel fuel while subsidising traders
Russia will begin importing diesel after Ukrainian strikes on oil refineries triggered a shortage estimated at nearly 40%, prompting filling stations to impose purchase limits and farmers to report supply shortages.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
45%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
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