Geopolitical··Severity 8
Trump threatens Canada with tariffs over ‘invasion’ of wildfire smoke
President to call PM Mark Carney over ‘filthy, polluted’ air wafting over US cities
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
57%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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