Geopolitical··Severity 8
Russia urges Iran conflict parties for ceasefire — top diplomat
Commenting on US calls to restore free navigation, Sergey Lavrov stressed that the Strait of Hormuz had been free and functioning without any problems or disputes "before the US and Israeli aggression broke out"
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
55%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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