Geopolitical··Severity 6
US Oil Rig Count Notches Longest Streak Without Drop Since 2022
Drilling in the US oil patch achieved the longest stretch without a decrease in activity in more than four years, supporting shale’s expansion amid higher prices driven by the Iran war.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
42%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Bloomberg Markets
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