Military··Severity 6
Two oil tankers hit mines near Strait of Hormuz — IRGC
According to the Iranian military, the Americans deceived the crews into taking a mined route
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
46%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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