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Geopolitical··Severity 6

Iran attacks Thai-flagged ship trying to pass through Strait of Hormuz — agency

No data on casualties or damage was provided

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

42%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: TASS English

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