Geopolitical··Severity 8
US feels impact of Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil infrastructure – Axios
Attacks by Ukrainian drones on oil refineries in Russia have dealt a major blow to the country's oil infrastructure, triggering an economic shock whose effects are now being felt in the United States.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
66%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
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