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Military··Severity 6

Ukrainian military in Africa trying to open second front against Russia — senior diplomat

This applies in particular to Mali, where Ukrainian instructors, including those trained in the use of unmanned aerial vehicles, are present in the ranks of the Islamist militants," Georgy Borisenko said

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

44%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: TASS English

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