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Geopolitical··Severity 8

Khmara is pawn in West's hands incapable of decisions — expert

Andrey Marochko warned that acting head of Ukraine's Defense Ministry could see an escalation in terrorist activities targeting Russia’s frontline and rear areas

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

64%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: TASS English

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