Geopolitical··Severity 6
Protests against Fedorov’s dismissal continue in Kyiv
A protest against the dismissal of Mykhailo Fedorov as defence minister and for the resignation of Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces Oleksandr Syrskyi is taking place in Kyiv's Ivan Franko Square for the third consecutive day
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
35%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
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