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Geopolitical··Severity 6

What to expect after the US reimposes naval blockade on Iran’s ports?

Pressure is expected to build on the Iranian public, as well as global energy markets due to the US blockade.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

42%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Al Jazeera

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