Geopolitical··Severity 6
Iran attacks Kurdistan Freedom Party's bases, state broadcaster says
Iran attacks Kurdistan Freedom Party's bases, state broadcaster says Iran has launched heavy attacks on bases belonging to the Kurdistan Freedom Party in Erbil and Sulaymaniyah, according to Iranian state broadcaster IRIB. Earlier, Kurdish-language broadcaster Aryen TV reported that Iran had closed the Marivan and Hawraman border crossings with Iraq and urged residents to stay away from the surrounding frontier areas in Kurdistan province.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
41%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Middle East Eye
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