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Geopolitical··Severity 8

IN BRIEF: Seven killed, over 50 injured in Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian regions

At least 370 drones were detected flying toward the Moscow region between the evening of July 17 and the morning of July 18

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

67%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: TASS English

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