Geopolitical··Severity 6
Botswana says citizens are increasingly being coerced into fighting for Russia against Ukraine – Bloomberg
Botswana's Ministry of International Relations has stated that an increasing number of its citizens are being coerced into fighting for Russia in its war against Ukraine.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
42%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
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