Geopolitical··Severity 6
Russians turn to cash, putting more strain on slowing wartime economy
Russians have been hit by mobile internet shutdowns and more businesses are seeking to dodge tax after more than four years of war with Ukraine.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
42%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
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