Geopolitical··Severity 8
Iran’s IRGC forces strike US airbase in Jordan — agency
The attack destroyed two fighter jets and three other aircraft, while several more sustained heavy damage, the IRGC said
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
62%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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