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Economic··Severity 5

No fuel, no patience: Russians endure fuel shortages

Russian couple Yelena and Dmitry passed four petrol stations before finally finding one that actually had fuel as they returned to the city of Vologda, some 300 miles (480 kilometres) north of Moscow, from their country allotment plot.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

20%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: France24

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