Military··Severity 9
Middle East live: US launches strikes to 'punish' Iran after troops killed
The United States and Iran traded missiles and airstrikes on Sunday as Washington sought to "punish" Tehran for the US military's first losses since open hostilities in the Middle East war resumed. Follow our liveblog for the latest updates.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
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