Geopolitical··Severity 6
More than 400 km from border: Zelenskyy confirms strikes on oil depot and logistics facilities near Moscow – video
President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has confirmed that an oil depot and logistics facilities in Russia's Moscow Oblast, located more than 400 km from the Ukrainian border, have been hit.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
44%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
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