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Geopolitical··Severity 6

The Middle East needs its own Helsinki Act

Trust is not a prerequisite for peacemaking — and Iran and its neighbours should follow the example of cold war détente

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

37%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: FT World

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