Geopolitical··Severity 6
Live updates : US completes ninth night of strikes on Iran as troop deaths raise fear of wider war
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
40%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: cnn.com
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