Geopolitical··Severity 6
Why is Iran bombing Gulf states while avoiding US naval assets and Israel?
Analysts say Iran is using Gulf states to pressure Washington while avoiding direct confrontation with US forces.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
42%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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