Geopolitical··Severity 8
Trump says US strikes hit Iran in 'honour' of American soldiers killed
Iran responded with attacks in Syria and Jordan, as two ships reportedly exploded in the Strait of Hormuz.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
67%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
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