Geopolitical··Severity 6
Who is Khalil al-Hayya, Hamas’s new leader?
Hamas on Monday named Khalil al-Hayya, one of the founding members of the Palestinian militant group, as its new leader. Hayya is seen as a respected and pragmatic Hamas veteran “who doesn’t get carried away easily”. Last year, he survived an Israeli attack in Doha targeting the Hamas leadership which left several people dead, including one of his sons.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
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40%Эскалация
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Primary source: France24
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