Geopolitical··Severity 8
Iran launches retaliatory attacks after US completes ninth night of strikes
Intensifying fighting between the United States and Iran has largely halted traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, driving the price of Brent crude to $90 a barrel.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
67%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Euronews
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