Military··Severity 9
US strikes Iran for ninth consecutive day as more ships targeted in Strait of Hormuz
The United States carried out a new wave of strikes in Iran on Monday as US deaths in the renewed fighting climbed to three and more ships came under attack in the strategic Strait of Hormuz. Iran responded by targeting US military assets in Bahrain, the home of the US Navy's 5th Fleet, and Kuwait.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
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80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
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