Geopolitical··Severity 6
FirstFT: Indian police crack down on ‘Cockroach’ protesters
Also in today’s newsletter: Andy Burnham becomes UK prime minister and US petrol prices climb back above $4
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
39%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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