Geopolitical··Severity 9
Iran’s currency tumbles as renewed conflict threatens economy
US blockades ports and targets infrastructure as Donald Trump tries to force Tehran’s hand over Strait of Hormuz
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
70%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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