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Geopolitical··Severity 6

State Department says relations between Russia and Cuba pose 'direct threat' to US

The report makes similar accusations against China and Iran

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

41%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: TASS English

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