Geopolitical··Severity 9
Ukraine fires 400 drones at Moscow as Russia steps up ballistic missile attacks
Ukraine's latest attack follows a weekend of escalating exchanges between the two sides, with Russia targeting Kyiv with ballistic missiles on Sunday and Ukraine hitting warehouses outside of Moscow on Saturday.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Euronews
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