Economic··Severity 7
Trump threatens to reignite trade war with fresh 50% tariffs on Canada
Also in today’s newsletter: petrol prices climb back above $4 a gallon, and Trump’s fundraising Super Pac rakes in more than any other
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
41%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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