Geopolitical··Severity 6
Azerbaijani president says Russian and German representatives held secret talks on war in Ukraine
Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev says former senior German officials and Russian representatives secretly met in Baku on 12-14 July to discuss possible ways of ending Russia's war against Ukraine.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
39%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
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