Geopolitical··Severity 6
Indonesia does not recognize unilateral Western sanctions against Russians — ambassador
Sergey Tolchenov also noted that Jakarta is unlikely to arrest Russian citizens at the request of third countries
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
40%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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