Geopolitical··Severity 6
Guerre au Moyen - Orient . Dixième nuit consécutive de frappes américaines , lIran riposte en ciblant des radars
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
35%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: ledauphine.com
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