← Scenarios catalogue
Social··Severity 6

Iran war: Look beyond stocks to understand state of economy, experts say

Yields on 10-year US Treasury bills, a bellwether for inflation, are up 60 basis points since the start of the Iran war.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

30%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Al Jazeera

Checking access status…