← Scenarios catalogue
Economic··Severity 5

The New Insider Traders Lurking on Prediction Markets

Sites like Polymarket can be rewarding for traders with inside info. There are different ways to get it.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

21%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

Checking access status…