Geopolitical··Severity 9
Trump vows to attack Iranian nuclear facility as Middle East war escalates
Goldman Sachs warns oil could jump to $120 per barrel if Strait of Hormuz remains ‘disrupted’
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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