Geopolitical··Severity 8
US intelligence believes strikes cannot change Iran's negotiating position — media
Intelligence analysts believe Iran and the United States remain "stuck in an indefinite limbo between peace and war," the newspaper said
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
58%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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