Geopolitical··Severity 6
Row escalates in Ukraine over army chief's future
Protesters are demanding Oleksandr Syrskyi be removed and former defence minister Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated by Friday.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
40%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
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